Modesto — UN urban centre
Modesto: 310,818 people. Reference: 2025 annual estimate · World rank #1,845 of 12,138 source urban centres. Source: UN DESA, World Urbanization Prospects 2025 (CC BY 3.0 IGO). Source identifier: 3589; territory: United States (USA). UN source workbook.
Method: Degree of Urbanisation (contiguous 1 km2 cells, density 1,500+ people/km2, total 50,000+). This is a source-defined urban centre, not a municipality or province. No association with a separate administrative entity is inferred from proximity or name.
Source centroid: 37.6562, -120.9842. National context uses World Bank estimates, a separate series and geography; no national share is inferred here.
UN population series
| Year | People | Method |
|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 65,965 | Estimate |
| 1995 | 102,622 | Estimate |
| 2000 | 127,402 | Estimate |
| 2005 | 143,461 | Estimate |
| 2010 | 254,145 | Estimate |
| 2015 | 277,291 | Estimate |
| 2020 | 307,156 | Estimate |
| 2025 | 310,818 | Estimate |
| 2030 | 316,506 | Projection |
| 2035 | 321,182 | Projection |
| 2040 | 323,426 | Projection |
| 2045 | 325,346 | Projection |
| 2050 | 326,265 | Projection |
Largest UN urban centres · Fastest-growing urban centres
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This page is a structured reference entry. Its sources, geographic definition and reference dates determine what the figures mean; it is not independent reporting about the causes of change. Read the accompanying explanation before comparing different places or vintages.