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Kenya vs South Africa

Flag of Kenya

Kenya

57,532,493#26 · +1.93%/yr
vs
Flag of South Africa

South Africa

64,747,319#24 · +1.15%/yr

South Africa has 13% more people than Kenya: 64,747,319 vs 57,532,493, a gap of 7.2 million. Kenya is growing faster (+1.93% vs +1.15% a year), adding about 1,110,192 people a year against +744,395. Using continuous exponential growth from the stated base year, if these rates held, Kenya would overtake South Africa in about 15 years (from the 2025 population bases, around 2040) — a projection, not a forecast. South Africa is the older society: 6.9% aged 65+ against 3.0% in Kenya, while Kenya has more children (36.3% under 15 vs 25.7%). Kenya is 1.8× as densely populated (95.3 vs 52.1 people per km²). People in South Africa live 2.5 years longer on average (66.3 vs 63.8). GDP per capita is 2.8× higher in South Africa ($6,598 vs $2,363).

Country/territory population bases: World Bank 2025 (Kenya) and 2025 (South Africa); growth years 2025 / 2025. Annual source values, not live counts; years may differ. Growth is national, not local.

Kenya vs South Africa — side by side

Flag of Kenya KenyaFlag of South Africa South Africa
Population57,532,493202564,747,3192025
Growth rate / yr+1.93%2025+1.15%2025
Births per 1,00027.0202418.52024
Deaths per 1,0007.220249.22024
Children per woman3.1720242.212024
Life expectancy63.8 yrs202466.3 yrs2024
Aged 0–1436.3%202525.7%2025
Aged 65+3.0%20256.9%2025
Density95.3 /km²202352.1 /km²2023
Area591,969 km²20231,219,090 km²2023
Urban population32.2%202563.8%2025
Net migration / yr-27,3302025+146,3702025
GDP per capita$2,3632025$6,5982025
Country population rank (available records)#26#24
Base / world population (World Bank 2025)0.70%0.79%

Highlighted cell = the higher value (not "better"). Small print under each value is its own data year. Source: World Bank; country/territory population bases may have different years. These are not live counts.

Population since 1960

World Bank population history (not the separate UN WPP timeline). Kenya: 7.5× from 1960 to 2025; South Africa: 3.9× from 1960 to 2025. Left: absolute population. Right: each series indexed to its own first available year = 100; baseline years may differ.

017.2M34.3M51.5M68.6M1960197019801990200020102020KenyaSouth Africa01983965947921960197019801990200020102020KenyaSouth Africa

More comparisons

Region: Sub-Saharan Africa · rankings

Kenya: Kenya vs India, Kenya vs China, Kenya vs United States, Kenya vs Indonesia, Kenya vs Pakistan, Kenya vs Nigeria, Kenya vs Brazil, Kenya vs Bangladesh.

South Africa: South Africa vs India, South Africa vs China, South Africa vs United States, South Africa vs Indonesia, South Africa vs Pakistan, South Africa vs Nigeria, South Africa vs Brazil, South Africa vs Bangladesh.

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This page is a structured reference entry. Its sources, geographic definition and reference dates determine what the figures mean; it is not independent reporting about the causes of change. Read the accompanying explanation before comparing different places or vintages.

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Interpretation reviewed 12 October 2026. Underlying reference years are stated on the page; this is not a fresh census or dataset refresh.